Population Forecasting 1895–1945: The Transition to ModernitySpringer Science & Business Media, 6 dic 2012 - 291 páginas Authors, scholars and scientists whose mother tongue is not one of the major languages of international communication are seriously disadvantaged. Some individuals, such as Joseph Conrad or Vladimir Nabokov, have overcome that handicap brilliantly. Others learn to live with it: they can express themselves sufficiently lucidly in a second language to make their voice heard internation ally. At least when they have something original or striking to say they will be certain to reach their peers. Most scientists and scholars fall into that category. Others, again, have to wait until their work has been translated before its value is recognised. This may apply even to those whose mother tongue is widely read. The writings of Frenchmen Lyotard, Derrida, Baudrillard or Foucault on post-modernism, on language, discourse and power, for example, had tremendous world-wide impact only after English translations appeared on the market. De Gans' study of the development of population forecasting in The Nether lands is another striking illustration of the effects a language barrier may have. He demonstrates convincingly that although a -possibly some what awkward Dutchman named Wiebols, was a pioneer of modern cohort component demo graphic forecasting, he never received international recognition for this. In his thesis of 1925 Wiebols employed the newest instruments of demographic analysis in improving forecasting methodology. |
Índice
1 | |
1 | 8 |
A Dutch pioneer of demographic forecasting | 23 |
4 | 30 |
The emergence of demographic forecasting in Europe | 41 |
The international struggle for paradigm dominance 85 | 84 |
responsibilities and what it brought | 108 |
Competing methodologies in the Netherlands | 127 |
The search for practical applications in Dutch urban | 175 |
The implications of the new paradigm | 233 |
Conclusions | 240 |
4 | 246 |
5 | 253 |
261 | |
Archives | 278 |
285 | |
Otras ediciones - Ver todo
Population Forecasting 1895–1945: The Transition to Modernity Henk A. de Gans,Henk de Gans Vista previa restringida - 1999 |
Population Forecasting 1895–1945: The Transition to Modernity Henk A. de Gans No hay ninguna vista previa disponible - 2012 |
Términos y frases comunes
20th century age specific age structure Amsterdam analysis Angenot assumption Bakker Schut birth and death birth rate Bowley Cannan Casseres Chapter concept conference consequences contribution conveyor belt countries course of population death rates debate decrease demo demographic forecasting demographic transition discussed economic economists extension plan extrapolation Fahlbeck fertility rates future course future number future population growth Gans geometrical German Halle method Holwerda Hooft housing need increase influence innovative inter-war period interest International Statistical Institute law of population logistic growth Methorst migration mortality national population forecasting Neo-Malthusianism Netherlands number of births observed past pioneers population dynamics population forecasting methodology population issue population problem population theory position present propagation public statistics result Rotterdam Rückert scientific social social Darwinism speculative statistical offices statisticians tion total population town planners town planning urban and regional Van der Valk Van Zanten Verrijn Stuart Westergaard Wiebols World Population Conference Zanten