The Keys to the White House: A Surefire Guide to Predicting the Next President

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Lexington Books, 2005 - 198 páginas
With The Keys to the White House, average citizens are giving the pollsters and pundits a run for their money. In this book prominent political analyst and historian Allan J. Lichtman presents thirteen historical factors, or "keys" (four political, seven performance, and two personality), that determine the outcome of presidential elections. In the chronological, successful application of these keys to every election since 1860-including the 2000 election where Al Gore was predicted to and did indeed win the popular vote, and the 2004 contest for Bush's reelection-Lichtman dispels much of the mystery behind electoral politics and challenges many traditional assumptions. Scholars of the electoral process, their students, and general readers who want to get a head-start on calling Decision 2008 should not miss this book.
 

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Índice

Logic of the Keys
1
Turning the Keys to the Presidency
19
Civil War and Reconstruction
49
The Gilded Age
65
Rise and Fall of Progressivism
81
Depression War and Cold War
99
New Directions War and Scandal
123
Reagan and Beyond
143
A False Dawn for Democrats 19962004
159
Lessons of the Keys Toward a New Presidential Politics
177
Notes
185
Index
191
About the Author
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Página 186 - For well-known examples pertaining to domestic systems, see Anthony Downs, An Economic Theory of Democracy (New York: Harper and Row, 1957); and James M.

Sobre el autor (2005)

Allan J. Lichtman is professor of American history at American University.

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